$500,000 MATCH TO WIN

Game #1658 · $5 ticket

Serious Score 56Overall odds: 1 in 4Medium Confidence

View on Lottery Site

Key Metrics

Serious Score56

Current Rate79¢Original: 65¢ · Shift: +14¢

Overall RankN/Aall US games

Price Rank#1by rate, $5 games

Tickets Remaining (Estimated)

402.1Kof 6M printed

Win Probabilities

Top Prize$500K

1 of 3 leftDistributed

P(Breakeven)1 in 4(24.0385%)

Any Prize

1 in 4

≥ $500

1 in 12,184

≥ $1K

1 in 402,059

≥ $5K

1 in 402,059

≥ $10K

1 in 402,059

≥ $100K

1 in 402,056

≥ $200K

1 in 402,056

≥ $500K

1 in 402,056

About This Game

$500,000 MATCH TO WIN is a $5 scratchers from the California Lottery with overall odds of 1 in 4.

At 79¢ per dollar, $500,000 MATCH TO WIN delivers an excellent return compared to most scratchers in California. Since launch, the return has improved by +14¢, meaning remaining tickets carry better value than early buyers received.

Only 1 of the original 3 top prizes of $500K remain — the biggest payouts are becoming scarce. Prizes are distributed across many tiers, giving players frequent smaller wins. Notably, you have a 1 in 4 chance of at least breaking even — better than most games at this price.

$500,000 MATCH TO WIN is currently the #1 ranked $5 scratchers in California by Serious Score — the top pick at this price point.

An estimated 7% of tickets remain, putting this game in its final stretch.